Applied Time Series Analysis and Forecasting in Python

Time Series Analysis in Python: Theory, Modeling: AR to SARIMAX, Vector Models, GARCH, Auto ARIMA, Forecasting

How does a commercial bank forecast the expected performance of its loan portfolio?

Or how does an investment manager estimate a stock portfolio’s risk?

Which are the quantitative methods used to predict real-estate properties?

If there is some time dependency, then you know it - the answer is time series analysis.

This course will teach you the practical skills that would allow you to land a job as a quantitative finance analyst, a data analyst or a data scientist.

In no time, you will acquire the fundamental skills that will enable you to perform complicated time series analysis directly applicable in practice. We have created a time series course that is not only timeless but also:

· Easy to understand

· Comprehensive

· Practical

· To the point

· Packed with plenty of exercises and resources

But we know that may not be enough.

We take the most prominent tools and implement them through Python – the most popular programming language right now. With that in mind…

Welcome to Time Series Analysis in Python!

The big question in taking an online course is what to expect. And we’ve made sure that you are provided with everything you need to become proficient in time series analysis.

We start by exploring the fundamental time series theory to help you understand the modelling that comes afterwards.

Then throughout the course, we will work with several Python libraries, providing you with complete training. We will use the powerful time series functionality built into pandas, as well as other fundamental libraries such as NumPy, matplotlib, StatsModels, finance, ARCH and prima.

With these tools, we will master the most widely used models out there:

· AR (autoregressive model)

· MA (moving-average model)

· ARMA (autoregressive-moving-average model)

· ARIMA (autoregressive integrated moving average model)

· ARIMAX (autoregressive integrated moving average model with exogenous variables)

. SARIA (seasonal autoregressive moving average model)

. SARIMA (seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average model)

. SARIMAX (seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average model with exogenous variables)

· ARCH (autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity model)

· GARCH (generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity model)

. VARMA (vector autoregressive moving average model)

We know that time series is one of those topics that always leaves some doubts.

Until now.

This course is exactly what you need to comprehend time series once and for all. Not only that, but you will also get a ton of additional materials – notebook files, course notes, quiz questions, and many, many exercises – everything is included.

This is the only course that combines the latest statistical and deep learning techniques for time series analysis. First, the course covers the basic concepts of time series:

• stationarity and augmented Dicker-Fuller test

• seasonality

• white noise

• random walk

• autoregression

• moving average

• ACF and PACF,

• Model selection with AIC (Akaike's Information Criterion)

Then, we move on and apply more complex statistical models for time series forecasting:

• ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average model)

• SARIMA (Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average model)

• SARIMAX (Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average model with exogenous variables)

We also cover multiple time series forecasting with:

• VAR (Vector Autoregression)

• VARMA (Vector Autoregressive Moving Average model)

• VARMAX (Vector Autoregressive Moving Average model with exogenous variable)

Then, we move on to the deep learning section, where we will use Tensorflow to apply different deep learning techniques for times series analysis:

• Simple linear model (1-layer neural network)

• DNN (Deep Neural Network)

• CNN (Convolutional Neural Network)

• LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory)

• CNN + LSTM models

• ResNet (Residual Networks)

• Autoregressive LSTM

Throughout the course, you will complete more than 5 end-to-end projects in Python, with all source code available to you.